Welcome

Suddenly just feel that blogspot is convenient
so welcome to my blog
hope you guys enjoy it

Monday, November 15, 2010

P/E Ratio

Today interest group talking about P/E ratio
how are we going to use the P/E ration to determine the future share price
although is expectation but is far more accurate than other stock valuation methods
P/E ratio = Price / Earnings per share
at first we must determine what is the highest and the lowest P/E ratio for the company
and the we must get the industry P/E to determine the benchmark compare with the P/E of the company
let's say lowest 4 highest 10
we must know the EPS of the company as in quarterly
and also their previous EPS
so that we can estimate what is their estimated future EPS
base on historical date and also market outlook of the company
whether he is in boom market or any catalyst that affect him
Let's say
Qtr 1 EPS = 2
Qtr 2 EPS = 3
Qtr 3 EPS = 3.5
Qtr 4 EPS = 2
Base on historical data show that Qtr 2 and Qtr 3 will be high EPS
therefore when we forecast future
Given the Qtr 1 EPS of future is 2.5
seems increase
so the estimated
Qtr 2 EPS of future will be 3.5
Qtr 3 EPS of future will be 4
and Qtr 4 of EPS of future will be 2.5
all these base on self estimation
to be more accurate is better to ensure the market outlook and the news of the company
it might decrease instead of increase
Base on the estimated EPS to determine the price of company in the future
Let's say estimated EPS 2.5
then times with the lowest and highest P/E
lowest= 10 highest = 20.5
this is the price range in the future since P/E times EPS = Price of the share
so if the amount of share now is 21 it is overvalued better not buy it so fast
if the amount is below 10 it is undervalued so we can invest in the company
I hope what I'm sharing here is correct
any correction please do comment
thank you guys
happy always

No comments:

Post a Comment